Education
BY CHLOE YOUNG
Despite continuing to see an increase in students, Georgetown ISD’s enrollment growth is expected to slow over the next decade. As of November, the district is projected to have 17,364 students by the 2034-35 school year—a decrease of around 2,500 students from the district’s last demographic update in August. A slowing of the housing market alongside an increase in students attending microschools and private schools could impact GISD’s enrollment growth, Zonda Demographics Vice President Bob Templeton said at a Nov. 17 board meeting. “The outlook is still good,” Templeton said. GISD projects slower growth
The background
Forecasting the future GISD’s enrollment projections for the next 10 years declined from August to November.
Zonda Demographics works with around 80 school districts, the majority of which are projecting low enrollment, Templeton said. Many districts are already feeling the effects of families choosing alternative education options, he said. Beginning in the 2026-27 school year, the state’s $1 billion education savings account program will allocate some families funds for private school tuition and homeschooling. Additionally, the number of new homes coming on the market in the Austin region has declined dramatically compared to San Antonio, Dallas and Houston, Templeton said. In the Austin metro, there were 13,744 new homes sold over the last year, a 25.4% decrease, according to Zonda Demographics data.
Projected enrollment (August) Projected enrollment (November) Historical enrollment
20K
15K
10K
0
NOTE: THE NOVEMBER PROJECTIONS REFLECT THE DISTRICT'S MID-GROWTH ENROLLMENT SCENARIO.
SOURCE: ZONDA DEMOGRAPHICS/COMMUNITY IMPACT
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