Bellaire - Meyerland - West University | October 2025

New congressional map could impact Inner Loop elections From the cover

This November, a special election will be held to ll a vacant seat representing TX-18 after U.S. Rep. Sylvester Turner died in March. The winner of that election will serve the remainder of the term. All congressional seats are up for election in 2026. All states are constitutionally required to redistrict every 10 years after a census, although mid-decade redistricting is not unprecedented, said Brandon Rottinghaus, a political science professor at the University of Houston. Texas lawmakers also redrew the state’s congressional boundaries in 2003.

“Each of these newly-drawn districts now trend Republican,” Hunter said Aug. 20. “While there's no guarantee of electoral success, Republicans will now have an opportunity to potentially win these... ve new districts.” If the federal court allows Texas’ redrawn congressional map to become law, the new districts will take eect in January 2027—the beginning of the next congressional cycle—and will not impact current congressional terms. Candidates will have from Nov. 8-Dec. 8 to le to appear on the March 3 primary ballots.

The overview

Texas lawmakers began redistricting this summer, after President Donald Trump asked Texas and other GOP-led states to redraw their congressional maps to benet Republicans outside the decennial redistricting period. Rep. Todd Hunter, R-Corpus Christi, said the “primary changes” to Texas’ congressional map were focused on ve districts: TX-09, TX-28, TX-32, TX-34 and TX-35.

69

69

DISTRICT 29

Current

New

DISTRICT 18

DISTRICT 18

45

45

610

610

10

10

INSIDE

XX

90

90

DISTRICT 38

DISTRICT 38

69

45

69

45

DISTRICT 29

DISTRICT 9

288

288

DISTRICT 7

DISTRICT 7

610

610

90

90

DISTRICT 9

N

N

SOURCE: TEXAS LEGISLATIVE COUNCILCOMMUNITY IMPACT

District population changes In District 9, Harris County will see a 62% decrease in Black voting-age residents under the new congressional map. Current map New map

The debate

SOURCE: TEXAS LEGISLATIVE COUNCILCOMMUNITY IMPACT

Rottinghaus said political parties can maximize their success in a district through multiple ways, such as drawing lines that would favor a certain political party, changing the district’s demographic prole or increasing district sizes to include additional territories. “Looking at the way District 9 has been pro- duced, it’s certainly going to be a lot less urban than it was, and it’s a lot less of a Black district than it was,” Rottinghaus said. “That means it’s going to be a challenge for Democrats to try to win those seats.” According to data from the Texas Legislative Council, Harris County is expected to see an increase in white voters in District 9, as parts of the district move from Harris, Fort Bend and Brazoria

District 9

District 18

28.3% of voters will be added to District 9.

19.1% of voters will leave District 18.

White

Black

Asian

Hispanic

White

Black

Asian

Hispanic

SOURCE: TEXAS LEGISLATIVE COUNCILCOMMUNITY IMPACT

counties to Harris and Liberty counties. With the new map, the number of white voters in District 9 will more than double, while Black voters will decrease by 62%.

In District 18, the county will see a decrease in white, Asian and Hispanic voters as por- tions of the overall population are moved to dierent districts.

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