Education
Conroe ISD is projected to see enrollment grow to 73,000 students by the 2030-31 school year before declining to 71,500 in 2035-36, according to a new Zonda Demographics study presented to the board of trustees at its March 17 meeting. CISD enrollment increased by 5,072 students Conroe ISD growth projections drop overall in the last four school years, although 150 fewer students entered in the 2025-26 school year, according to Zonda. This contrasts with a previous Population and Survey Analysts report that showed nearly steady growth expected from 2023-33, and an estimated 98,353 students in 2032-33.
A closer look
Zonda officials said low birth rates are impacting enrollment numbers, with fewer births than previously projected. “We used district birth date data, from the state health department ... we look at the ZIP codes that predominantly make up the district and look at the kindergarten enrollment as a capture rate,” said Rocky Gardiner, director of school district consulting. This projection comes despite potentially 22,000 new single-family lots through 2036, according to Zonda.
Conroe ISD 10-year student enrollment projections 100K
Zonda report
PASA study
98,353
67,693
75K 50K 25K 0
71,527
67,761
Numbers to know 1,200 houses under construction in CISD 1,700 new houses in active inventory 20 future subdivisions expected in CISD
+5.66%: change from 2021-22 to 2035-36
+45.15%: change from 2021-22 to 2032-33
2021- 22
2022- 23
2023- 24
2024- 25
2025- 26
2026- 27
2027- 28
2028- 29
2029- 30
2030- 31
2031- 32
2032- 33
2033- 34
2034- 35
2035- 36
School years
SOURCES: POPULATION AND SURVEY ANALYSTS, ZONDA DEMOGRAPHICS, CONROE ISD/COMMUNITY IMPACT
SOURCE: ZONDA DEMOGRAPHICS/COMMUNITY IMPACT
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COMMUNITYIMPACT.COM
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