The Woodlands | February 2023

DEVELOPMENTS

New homes to be built 2023-2033

Housing hotspots More than 9,000 new homes are projected in four master-planned communities in the next 10 years.

Artavia

2,393 homes projected

Price range: $340K to $700K Home size: 1,542 - 4,435 sq. ft.

1,695 homes projected

99

Mavera

MAVERA PKWY.

Price range: $300K to $410K Home size: 1,628 - 3,265 sq. ft.

242

Evergreen

1,881 homes projected

Price range: not available Home size: 1,624 - 4,255 sq. ft.

1314

3,305 homes projected

Woodson's Reserve

Price range: not available Home size: not available

N

SOURCES: CONROE ISD, POPULATION AND SURVEY ANALYSTS, ARTAVIA, MAVERA, SHEA HOMESCOMMUNITY IMPACT

Student growth by housing Type The student population in actively developing subdivisions is seeing the most growth, increasing by 20% from 2021-22.

will exceed 9,000 additional homes in the area in the next decade. “In addition to that, there is proba- ble continued single-family develop- ment in the very far southeast … south of Woodson’s Reserve,” she said. Investors and developers are drawn to Montgomery County because Harris County is mostly built out as well as CISD’s proximity to I-45, according to the study. Districts to the south—such as Humble, northern Cy-Fair and Klein ISDs—are all nearly built out, the study said, which makes CISD the “next frontier in suburban residential development.” The Conroe, Caney Creek and Grand Oaks feeders are projected to see the most overall growth, add- ing 3,568, 2,996 and 1,365 students, respectively, to their high schools by October 2032, and Oak Ridge will see 784 additional students, according to the study. While the projected enrollment in 10 years is around 98,000 stu- dents, McCord said the district has historically recorded high- er-than-projected numbers. To prepare for the expected growth, the board of trustees called for the formation of a bond committee that is scheduled to meet 11 times through- out the spring and summer before presenting its recommendations to the board, which will then vote on calling a bond. The deadline to call a bond for the November election is Aug. 27. Rapidly growing areas One of the fastest growing areas within CISD’s boundaries is the Grand

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A November demographic study conducted by Population and Sur- vey Analysts projected 53,305 addi- tional housing units would be built in the district by 2032, driving student enrollment to more than 100,000 stu- dents. To immediately address over- crowding in some areas and to ll a new campus, the CISD board of trust- ees rezoned the Grand Oaks feeder zone at its Jan. 17 meeting. The feeder zone is set to see at least 1,365 additional high school students projected in the next 10 years. Chris McCord, assistant superin- tendent of operations for CISD, said in an interview that the district works with information from developers to determine its needs for potential bonds and rezoning. “Developers are very helpful and excited to have their homes be a part of Conroe ISD,” McCord said. “So we work together collaboratively. But there are a lot of developers, and there’s a lot of development.” District growth PASA’s demographics study attributed the growth to rising birth rates, high demand for large devel- opable tracts of land, increases in sin- gle-family housing and expansions of master-planned communities such as Woodson’s Reserve, Arta- via, Evergreen and Mavera in south Montgomery County. PASA President Stacey Tapera said at a special CISD board meeting reviewing the demographic study Dec. 6 that those developments alone

2021 students

2022 students

Numeric change

New students % growth

Housing type

Built-out subdivisions

42,757

43,065

+308

+1%

Subdivisions in active development

9,294

11,160

+1,866

+20%

Multifamily

6,859

7,089

+230

+3%

Manufactured homes

4,183

4,403

+220

+5%

SOURCE: POPULATION AND SURVEY ANALYSTSCOMMUNITY IMPACT

Oaks feeder zone in south Mont- gomery County, according to the PASA study. “There’s growth throughout the Grand Oaks feeder, but the Woodson’s Reserve area is where we’re looking at it now—and the east side of the Grand Oaks feeder, that’s where growth is going to be coming primarily from that area,” McCord said. According to the demographic study, Woodson’s Reserve, which is in the southeastern corner of the district, is expected to see an addi- tion of 1,145 homes from 2022-27 and 550 homes from 2027-2032. In addition to Woodson’s Reserve, the Grand Oaks feeder has large, undeveloped areas of land in its southern tip that are expected to turn into housing developments, the study reported. Other high-growth developments in the district include the Artavia, Mavera and Evergreen neighbor- hoods o Hwy. 242, which are pro- jected to see additions of 3,305, 2,393 and 1,881 homes over 10 years, respectively. Located just east of the

current Oak Ridge zone boundar- ies, they are within the Caney Creek attendance zone. Robert Santini, director of land acquisition and development at Evergreen developer Shea Homes, said he believes The Woodlands area draws developers. “This area has it all, when you look at it from a development stand- point,” Santini said. “There are strong and growing employment oppor- tunities. ... You have a well-rated school district, ... great transporta- tion access, ... and there are existing natural amenities.” Evergreen, a Shea Homes commu- nity located on Hwy. 242, was agged by PASA as a high-growth develop- ment. Santini said it will see nearly 2,000 homes in the next 10 years. Additionally, a 22-acre parcel of land near Sawdust Road set to be used for a high-density residential development was sold in January to an aliate of Marquette Properties, and it was not included in the demographic projec- tions prepared by PASA, according to the district. Growth also comes from expansions

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