The Woodlands | January 2023

TOP STORY

Population and Survey Analysts projected that through 2032-33, Conroe ISD will need to add 10 elementary schools, three K-6 schools, three intermediate schools, four junior high schools, three ninth-grade campuses and two high schools to meet enrollment needs. New campuses needed

Campus capacity By the 2032-33 school year, 47 of the district’s 59 campuses will be at or overcapacity, without taking new campuses into consideration.

Projections for 2032-33 school year

HIGH SCHOOL FEEDER ZONES

Type of campus

Not at capacity

Over 100% capacity

Over 110% capacity

Over 120% capacity

Elementary schools: 10 K-6 schools: 3 Intermediate schools: 3 Junior high schools: 4 Ninth-grade campuses: 3 High schools: 2 ALL FEEDER SCHOOLS

High schools

CANEY CREEK FEEDER

Junior high schools

CONROE FEEDER

Intermediate schools

Elementary schools

SOURCE: POPULATION AND SURVEY ANALYSTSCOMMUNTY IMPACT

THE WOODLANDS FEEDER

1 K-6 school

242

WOODLANDS PKWY.

OAK RIDGE FEEDER

projection said in the 2032-33 school year, the district could have an enrollment of over 120,000 students, up from 73,195 in the current school year. PASA President Stacey Tapera said at the meeting that PASA aims to remain conservative in the projections it presents. “It is very important to us that we don’t make big promises or big projections that would cause you to overbuild,” Tapera said. In The Woodlands area, the Grand Oaks High School and Oak Ridge High School feeder zones are projected to see the most growth, adding 1,365 and 784 high school students by October 2032, respectively, according to the study. Without any high school additions or boundary rezoning, the increase would put Grand Oaks at over 155% capacity of its 3,200-student limit by that time, according to the study. Hot spots for growth come from single-family developments, particularly in the southern Montgomery County area. By the 2032-33 school year, 47 of the district’s 59 campuses are estimated to be at or overcapacity without taking new campuses into consideration, according to the study. More than 54% of those schools overcapacity will be at more than 120% capacity, it states. In addition to Bartlett Elementary School, Hines Elementary, Veterans Memorial Intermediate and the new Moorhead Junior High schools—the schools built or being built with 2019 bond funds—the study found the district will need to add 21 schools, including two kindergarten through sixth-grade schools, two elementary

CONTINUED FROM 1

1 K-6 school

bond planning committee early this year in anticipation of a bond appear- ing on the ballot in November. CISD’s last bond was approved by vot- ers in November 2019 for $677.37 million and included $315.8 million for new campuses and additions. District ocials said at a Dec. 6 meeting that needs over the next decade will include two new high schools as well as 19 other schools throughout the district. Within The Woodlands-area feeder zones, ve new schools will be needed by 2032-33, ocials said. CISD Superintendent Curtis Null said in an interview with Community Impact that the district’s growth is a good challenge to have. “It says positive things about our community [and] about our school district that families are moving here, and they want to raise their families in Montgomery County—in Conroe ISD,” he said. “For us as a sta and com- munity, we have to nd ways now to meet these challenges.” Demographic study results Conducted by demographics rm Population and Survey Analysts, the demographic study presented to the board of trustees at a Dec. 6 meeting showed three growth scenarios: low-, moderate- and high-growth projections. Historically, CISD has recorded enrollment higher than even the highest projections provided in previous studies with the exception of the 2020-21 school year early in the COVID-19 pandemic, according to the district. PASA’s highest enrollment

GRAND OAKS FEEDER 1 elementary school 1 junior high school 1 ninth-grade campus

99 TOLL

COLLEGE PARK FEEDER

Housing growth

In The Woodlands area, Woodson’s Reserve in the Grand Oaks feeder is projected to see the most growth. Most CISD growth is occurring in the northern portions of the district.

Single family neighborhoods

Pine Acre Trails

Projected single-family occupancies Oct. 2022-Oct. 2032

Sweetwater Ridge

0 1-50 51-100 101-500

Silverthorne

Timber Pointe

501-1,000 Over 1,000

Spring Branch Crossing

Evergreen

Grand Central Park

Mavera

242

Artavia

99 TOLL

Woodson's Reserve

SOURCES: CONROE ISD, POPULATION AND SURVEY ANALYSTSCOMMUNITY IMPACT

COMMUNITYIMPACT.COM