Education
BY VALERIA ESCOBAR
Katy ISD demographic data shows rezoning may be needed in next decade
Katy ISD student enrollment KISD experienced continuous growth for decades before a dip in the rate. The district then saw two years of “unprecedented growth,” gaining more than 4,000 students annually following the pandemic.
Cates said. The study shows overcrowding in the north- west, necessitating potential rezoning efforts in the next decade at campuses including: • Youngblood Elementary, which is projected to reach a 332% capacity with three well-utilized schools that could fit within its current atten- dance zone • Nelson, Haskett, Katy and Stockton junior highs • Katy and Freeman high school zones, with Free- man’s largest cohort currently in kindergarten Moving forward Cates said as the district potentially rezones or builds new facilities to manage the imbalanced growth, the southern portion of the district is expected to see more capacity.
Katy ISD officials may have to face rezoning deci- sions in the next decade amid unbalanced growth across the district, a new demographic study by Population and Survey Analysts showed. Lower birth rates, competition from alternative education opportunities and changing migration patterns are offsetting the growth of 2,000 students annually brought by new housing, leading to fluc- tuating enrollment and localized strain on school facilities, demographer Susan Cates said. After years of growth, the student population is projected to decline beginning this school year. In the classroom Despite the overall decline in student population this year and projected flat enrollment for the next couple of years, the localized growth in the northwest quadrant presents a facility challenge,
Enrollment
Accelerated scenario
Forecasted enrollment
Reduced scenario
110K
Projected Enrollment
103,470
100K
98,815
90K
89,954
80K
83,423
$0
2019- 2020
2027- 2028
2035- 2036
SOURCE: POPULATION AND SURVEY ANALYSTS/COMMUNITY IMPACT
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