Population and Survey Analysts, a Texas-based research organization, released preliminary results from its 2018 study of Conroe ISD in December, projecting future student enrollment growth. ON THE ENROLLMENT RISE
Conroe ISD to add 13,500 more students by 2028 EDUCATION BY HANNAH ZEDAKER Over the next decade, Conroe ISD is expected to add more than 13,500 students to its enrollment, according to a recent demographics study conducted by the Population and Survey Analysts. PASA is a research organization that assists Texas school districts in long-range planning by projecting future student enrollment based on a variety of fac- tors, including housing and economic trends. Deputy Superintendent Chris Hines presented an overview of the study during the CISD board of trustees meeting Dec. 18. The study compared the demograph- ics of CISD’s population to that of the Greater Houston area, broke down growth annually until 2028, and examined which high schools should expect increasing and decreasing student populations. According to the study, by 2028, CISD is expected to reach 76,560 students—a 19 percent increase from the start of the 2018-19 school year, which reported an enrollment of 63,014 students. “That’s one of the themes [in this study]—students are coming,” Hines said. “We’re going to continue to grow— it’s not stopping yet.” PASA’s study also included demographics of the CISD area compared to the Greater Houston area, which showed that CISD has a as a slightly higher student-age population than the Greater Houston area. The study also revealed that CISD has a lower eco- nomically disadvantaged student population than the Greater Houston area, as well as a higher percentage of students who pass the State of Texas Assessment of Academic Readiness. The study showed growth trends within the district. Over the next decade, while the Conroe High School feeder zone is expected to add more than 2,500 students, The Woodlands High School feeder zone is expected to lose more than 700 students, according to the study. CISD Director of Communications Sarah Blakelock said the projected decreased enrollment will alleviate over- crowding at TWHS, as the campus currently relies on portable buildings to accommodate students. CISD officials said more comprehensive report of the study will be presented at the Jan. 15 board meeting.
76,560
75,062 2028:
73,736 2026:
72,448 2026:
71,227 2025:
69,834 2024:
+61%
68,479 2023:
67,067 2022:
19.21% INCREASE
65,592 2021:
64,219 2020:
2019:
+65%
-15.9%
WHERE’S THE GROWTH? While some feeder zones will experience rising student enrollment, others will experience losses, according to PASA.
105
2854
336
3083
+16.4%
1488
45
242
ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT BY HIGH SCHOOL
-1.5%
Conroe
The Woodlands
The Woodlands College Park
Oak Ridge
Caney Creek
SOURCES:CONROE ISD,POPULATIONANDSURVEY ANALYSTS/COMMUNITY IMPACTNEWSPAPER
Map not to scale N
PASA’s study compared Conroe ISD’s demographics with those of the Houston metro area. COMPARE & CONTRAST
CONROE ISD AREA
HOUSTON METRO
Economically disadvantaged: 37.1%
Median household income:
Economically disadvantaged: 58.1%
$63,802 Median household income:
$81,038
40%
20%
30%
19%
bachelor’s degree:
Population ages 5-17:
bachelor’s degree:
Population ages 5-17:
82.6%
73.1%
State of Texas Assessments of Academic Readiness passage rate:
State of Texas Assessments of Academic Readiness passage rate:
19
The Woodlands edition • January 2019
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